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Monthly Archives: September 2011
JOCKEY CLUB GOLD CUP PREVIEW
JOCKEY CLUB GOLD CUP (R10, BEL, 5:46 ET) (For previews of the other Super Saturday Belmont Stakes, as well as the Cotillion at Parx, and Sunday’s Prix de l’Arc de Triompe from Longchamp, just scroll down) #2 ICE BOX doesn’t … Continue reading
BELDAME PREVIEW
BELDAME (R9 BEL, 5:06 ET) Apologies for all the chalk, folks, but you can only take what they give you. I think it’s an important exercise to deconstruct and price up these races, if only to get a jump for … Continue reading
Mo Money, Mo Problems: KELSO PREVIEW
#1 JERSEY TOWN’s Cigar Mile from last year would make him very dangerous. While he hasn’t reproduced that form since you can build a case off the idea that two back was too short off the bench and maybe you … Continue reading
VOSBURGH PREVIEW
VOSBURGH (R7 BEL, 3:57 ET) #2 FORCE FREEZE certainly ran a corker in the Teddy Drone at Monmouth, suggesting that he is a better animal on dirt, an assertion his 3-year old form backs up. Unfortunately for him, that last … Continue reading
Posted in Belmont Park, handicapping
Tagged Belmont tips, Peter Thomas Fornatale, trappe shot, vosburgh analysis
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TURF CLASSIC PREVIEW
TURF CLASSIC (R6 BEL, 3:22 ET) I’m going to treat this race as a “speed round” because my opinion, I’m afraid, isn’t very interesting. #1 CAPE BLANCO is going to take all the beating. I don’t have anything too clever … Continue reading
FLOWER BOWL PREVIEW
FLOWER BOWL (R5 BEL, 2:47 ET) #1 DELUXE is a contender. She’s got my girl Aruna on the book from back in the day in France, though Aruna has improved mightily since then. Deluxe ran very well in her stateside … Continue reading
Posted in Aruna, Belmont Park, handicapping, super saturday
Tagged aruna, Belmont tips, flower bowl analysis, horse racing, Peter Thomas Fornatale, Stacelita, super saturday
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Rob Dove’s 2011 Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe (G1) Preview
(ED NOTE: The Arc will be run at 10:15 ET on Sunday morning. Thanks so much to Rob Dove for taking the time to share his thoughts in this space while I’m knee deep in SuperSaturday PPs) #1 WORKFORCE: Last … Continue reading
Cotillion Betting Preview with Odds
THE COTILLION (G2), SATURDAY, October 1, 2011, R10 at Parx (4:58 ET) I hope I don’t get struck by lightning for saying this but this race always makes me think of Mr. Wong. Anyway. . . #1 DARING REALITY is … Continue reading
Moneyball Review: Does Billy Beane’s S#*t Work on the Big Screen?
In Moneyball the book, Billy Beane famously says, in a line that sadly didn’t make the script, “My shit doesn’t work in the playoffs.” Against the odds (see below), Moneyball does work on screen. We see the words “based on … Continue reading